Tuesday, September 26, 2023
Prism for Kujira: KUJIATOM-THANG!
Friday, February 24, 2023
Why the user-experience matters: a case-study
Sunday, March 6, 2022
Whales and the Mirror Protocol: a case-study of self-determination
To be a Whale in #cryptocurrency doesn't mean you get your way. Case in point: a whale has floated two proposals on @mirror_protocol to lower collateral ratio to 110% for $mIAU and $mSLV: https://mirrorprotocol.app/#/gov
Why? What is the angle here?
Gold and Silver are the most stable securities in the world.
Shorting them is well-nigh guaranteed to be safe. And you make yields on shorted assets on @mirror_protocol.
Two advantages then:
- yields
- capital preservation
Wednesday, July 28, 2021
How I trade e-coins
Tuesday, July 20, 2021
E-coin analysis for 2021-07-20: ADA, LTC, FIL, XTZ, XLM, MIR
First, $ADA. A down-trend with an up-tick at the end. Hm. Are we going to see this all over the place? Anyway: 84% buy-pressure.
Yup. As I thought, the others mirror the above pattern. The standout is Stellar $XLM which has the most pronounced up-tick.Wednesday, July 14, 2021
Buy? Sell? HODL? What to in a #cryptocurrency Bear Market.
So. Am I being stupid?
peanut gallery, in chorus: "YES! YES, YOU ARE BEING STUPID!"
me: thx, fam
peanut gallery, in chorus: "HAPPY TO HELP!"
me: 🙄
Okay, so, am I being stupid? I'm #HODL-ing onto these coins that have downward momentum AND sell-recommendations (GOOD sell-recommendations, we have established).
My first thought was to sell these coins, but there are two problems there.
- One problem is I incur tax liability for short-term capital gains on coins that I made out like gang-busters.
- Another problem is that I actually lose (fiat) money on coins that made out like ... party-poopers? (is 'party poopers' the opposite of gang-busters?)
- it captures the value of the coin that you would lose if you #HODL in a bear market
- because you're not converting to fiat currency, it doesn't incur tax liability that you would incur by selling the coin.
- Buy on a buy-recommended up-trending coin
- Convert sell-recommended coins to 1.
- In a bear market, convert sell-recommended coins to stable coin to retain value.
Tuesday, July 13, 2021
Stellar XML Buy-recommendation analysis
For the Stellar $XLM RSI buy-recommendation, the 1-day, 1-week, and 1-month trend is downward, so I am holding off buying until I see this trend reverse.
Saturday, July 10, 2021
Orchid (OXT) Buy-Recommendation Analysis
Is $OXT a good buy?
... meh
I think I'll start a series of articles called: "Why I'm stupid (so you don't have to be)."
Let's look at $OXT. It's $0.01 below my portfolio average, so less than 3% of a bargain. That's noise, not urgent buy-pressure.
Now, let's look at the 1-week chart from gemini. After spending 'forever' in the doldrums, $OXT perked up, but it looks like a settle-pattern, not a surge-pattern.
...so, I did buy $OXT (pre-this analysis, not post-), but the third mistake I made was to stake it at 2.47%. If $OXT is going to make money, why not make that money on the surge, then translate that coin to $MIR which has a liquidity pool at ~80% return?So. What will I do differently, going forward?
- look for significant price difference, vis-à-vis my portfolio.
- look for significant upward price trend in the chart.
- consider keeping the asset tradable (not staked) for a switch to a more advantageous stake.
Friday, July 9, 2021
UNI Bounty 34: DeFi users vs. N00bs
UNI Bounty 33: Voter Behavior
Thursday, July 8, 2021
Buy Analysis: $AAVE 2021-07-07
$AAVE is on sale, vis-à-vis my portfolio. Which is odd, because it's now even 'more' on sale today than yesterday when I bought then. Should I buy again? Let's analyze.
I'll just say this: when you buy (in this case, $AAVE) and after a day, it goes way down on a buy-recommendation, that hurts, okay?
But, okay, given that, and, as a momentum investor, what are the charts telling me? Here is the gemini 1-month chart for $AAVE:
With the one-month chart, we see a slow and steady trend upward. So, that indicates, yes, buy $AAVE, ... but!... there is the activity of the last day (highlighted in the cyan circle), and that's where we see the price-drop, even with the TWK indicator green-lighting a buy order. Does this jitteriness indicate $AAVE has peaked?
The short answer to "Has $AAVE peaked?" is: "I don't know." Who does? But let's take the bird's eye view here, and look at $AAVE's performance over the past year. What do we see in the 1-year chart for $AAVE? Well, after peaking at $600, which I did not buy at (thankfully), $AAVE got slammed down hard, and, we see a recent return to its 'normal' price, where, right now, its current price is below its half-year average.Monday, June 28, 2021
Velocity: Stacked chart of $COMP
Here we see a Velocity stacked chart of $COMP supplies, reserves, and borrows using @flipsidecrypto data analytics (implemented by yours, truly). Note that you can scan the chart by bar for each value. You can also view the SQL that generated this chart.
Velocity: Cryptocurrency Data Analytics Tool
Velocity with @flipsidecrypto allows you to query and visualize $COMP, $LUNA, and $UNI #cryptocurrency. Here are $LUNA transactions
Thursday, May 30, 2019
Exploring Entities-viewed Graph Data
I. Visually
Case Study 1: April 2019 entity views
Let's say you want to see the top entities for a particular month. And we just so happen to know in which year that month is that we wish to explore, so that's a plus.
First, we request the year node:
match (y:Year) return y
With that query, you get back the Year node (or nodes).
Select it to view the months of that year:
Ah! I'm really interested in the top entities viewed in April. Let's see what they are. Select the April Month node to view them:
And up pops the entities and their view-counts for April. But note something else. Any entities that have shown up in any other month have the view-counts for those months linked to them, as well. Because those other month-nodes are present in this graph-view, you get those linkages manifested "fo' free!"
Case Study 2: From an Entity's Perspective
Let's now explore the graph from the opposite perspective. That is to say, instead of drilling down from the year to the month to the entities of that month, let's look at the graph starting from an entity. Choosing one, let's go with "donald trump" (because I just so happen to know this entity shows up in more than one month, oddly enough).
Our Cypher query to get a particular entity is:
match (e:Entity { name: "donald trump" }) return e
Executing that query, we get:
And – boom! – there you have it, "donald trump." Let's see the months this entity has been viewed, and the view-counts by month. To expand the entity we select it to get:
Well, how many times has this entity been viewed in total? That is to say, across the entire data set? Well, we can eyeball it and say "eh, more than 12?" and we'd not be wrong.
II. Cypher Queries
Case Study 1: April's Entities as a Spreadsheet
We've already been doing some rudimentary cypher queries to get our starting-point nodes. Let's use Cypher to get our data back in spreadsheet-form, because we all so love spreadsheets!
Let's do a simple enough query, repeating what we already saw, visually, above, and query the entities viewed in April. The Cypher query to return that (sorted) result in tabular form is:
match (e:Entity)<-[c:Count]-(m:Month { month: "April"})return e.name as name,toInteger(c.count) as countorder by count descending
And we get a nice little spreadsheet back:
And in the upper right-hand corner is an 'export CSV'-button, so you can actually download the data as CSV and import that to your spreadsheet; lolneat!
Case Study 2: Donald Trump's Views
Let's answer the previous question: how many views did the "donald trump"-entity get across the entire duration of the data period? The Cypher query that gets us that information is:
match (e:Entity { name: "donald trump"})<-[c:Count]-()return e.name as name, sum(toInteger(c.count)) as views
This returns the result of:
So, clocking in at 11,709 views, we were correct in saying the entity "donald trump" has more than 12 views in total.
Case Study 3: All Entities Viewed
Okay, we know the view-counts for the entity "donald trump." Great! How about a query that gives us all the entities viewed, sorted by most viewed first. The Cypher query to do this is:
match (e:Entity)<-[c:Count]-()return e.name as name, sum(toInteger(c.count)) as viewsorder by views descending
And the results that query shows us is:
Conclusion
So there you have it! Exploring a graph both visually and by extracting data via a cypher query.













































