Friday, October 28, 2016

2016-10-28 Trading Top5s Analysis: GE

Markets Top5s Analysis for 2016-10-28

Created snapshot of top5s graph database (by closing the old window that didn't work when I asked to create the backup. The toggle-the-on-off-switch approach); shunted to google drive.

scrape

2016-10-28
Mkt_Cap:CVX,GE,FB,AMX,SNY|AMZN,AMGN,NVO,XOM,MCK
Price:GIMO,CBI,AMX,DF,GVA|MCK,SYNA,INT,ABC,NVO
Volume:BAC,AMD,SIRI,GE,CHK,SPY,F,AAPL,WLL,FCX
Updated /Users/geophf/Documents/OneDrive/work/1HaskellADay/Seer/data/top5s.csv with 2016-10-28 data
Updating graph DaaS at http://top5ssecurities.sb02.stations.graphenedb.com:24789

bubbles

So, we haven't seen GE in a while, have we? July 2016 was the last analysis of this stock.

let's analyze GE
geophf:writing geophf$ analyze GE
Wrote analysis files for GE
GE SMA





GE EMA

GE Stochastic Oscillators

2016-10-27 Trading Top5s Analysis: AAPL

Markets Top5s analysis for 2016-10-27

Unable to create snapshot due to technical difficulties at graphene.com

scrape

2016-10-27
Mkt_Cap:CELG,BMY,VZ,JNJ,QCOM|AAPL,MSFT,CHL,FB,ABB
Price:TTMI,RUSHA,SJW,SFLY,IPGP|CUZ,GRPN,AMFW,TBPH,CLF
Volume:ASH,SPY,QQQ,HSBC,STM,NVO,RIO,SBGL,BCS,NOK
Updated /Users/geophf/Documents/OneDrive/work/1HaskellADay/Seer/data/top5s.csv with 2016-10-27 data
Updating graph DaaS at http://top5ssecurities.sb02.stations.graphenedb.com:24789

bubbles

You'll note in the graph above that 'prior trading day' is 2016-10-25, not because 2016-10-26 was not a trading day – it was – it was because that even though I did a report on that day's top5s, I failed to enter those top5s into the database. Human error.

This brings out an interesting pattern. Most day-to-day comparisons you see relations of stocks from the prior to the current day. Today, there being a two-day trading gap, there is very little interrelatedness.

It's the Apple (AAPL) Mac Expo, and, as in every year, the price falls on gloom and doom from the media about how yet again AAPL has ruined everything, again, every year. And year after year, AAPL's price has gone what direction? Up, up, up. Not during the Expo, it always goes down during the Expo, but after, the price, 11 years running has recovered and then added gain after gain.

My long-term analysis of AAPL is here: http://logicalgraphs.blogspot.com/2016/01/case-study-aapl-investment-strategies.html

let's analyze AAPL on it's down-day today
geophf:Desktop geophf$ analyze aapl
Wrote analysis files for aapl
AAPL SMA



AAPL EMA

AAPL Stochastic Oscillators

(meanwhile, a stock I pointed out earlier this month, Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) is up 1% today)

Thursday, October 27, 2016

2016-10-26 Trading Top5s Analysis: X (U.S. Steel)

Markets Top5s Analysis for 2016-10-26

Created snapshot of top5s graph database; shunted to google drive

No scrape, because I fell asleep on the keyboard! So lame!

bubbles

So, looking at the reports on the stocks of the top5s today, nothing really jumped out at me, but in my history I saw X: U.S. Steel. 


It doesn't show up on the top5s all that often:

so let's look at that today.
geophf:writing geophf$ analyze X
Wrote analysis files for X
X SMA


X EMA

X Stochastic Oscillators

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

2016-10-25 Trading Top5s Analysis: AMD

Markets Top5s Analysis for 2016-10-25

Created snapshot of top5s graph database; shunted to google drive

scrape

2016-10-25
Mkt_Cap:PG,LMT,MRK,AAPL,VALE.P|TLK,NVS,HD,GOOGL,NLSN
Price:CWEI,NCI,MOG.B,CR,EDU|TLK,CUZ,SPN,NLSN,SONC
Volume:AMD,CHK,UA,VALE,FCX,BAC,AAPL,S,F,T
Updated /Users/geophf/Documents/OneDrive/work/1HaskellADay/Seer/data/top5s.csv with 2016-10-25 data
Updating graph DaaS at http://top5ssecurities.sb02.stations.graphenedb.com:24789


bubbles

MOG.B took off again today at +11%, and AMD also did very well at 7%+ gain.

let's analyze AMD
geophf:writing geophf$ analyze AMD
Wrote analysis files for AMD
AMD SMA





AMD EMA

AMD Stochastic Oscillators

2016-10-24 Trading Top5s Analysis: GOOGL

Markets Top5s Analysis for 2016-10-24

Created snapshot of top5s graph database; shunted to weekly folder on google drive

scrape
2016-10-24
Mkt_Cap:MSFT,GOOG,AMZN,GOOGL,AAPL|T,BUD,SYT,TWX,AGN
Price:MTL,ACCO,BEAV,MOG.B,TMUS|CUZ,MKC.V,ARIA,GNW,RDUS
Volume:T,GNW,BAC,CHK,SIRI,MSFT,AMD,TWX,TWTR,PBR
Updated /Users/geophf/Documents/OneDrive/work/1HaskellADay/Seer/data/top5s.csv with 2016-10-24 data
Updating graph DaaS at http://top5ssecurities.sb02.stations.graphenedb.com:24789


bubbles

The Tech sector seemed to stand out today.

let's analyze GOOGL
geophf:writing geophf$ analyze GOOGL
Wrote analysis files for GOOGL
GOOGL SMA





GOOGL EMA

GOOGL Stochastic Oscillators

Thursday, October 20, 2016

2016-10-20 Predictions and Scoring

Predictions and Scoring 2016-10-20

SCORING:

No scores, because no prior predictions.

But of course:

GOOGL went down after inexplicably (to me) showing up on the top5s

CUZ went down again

V went down (very slightly, not in-the-money down)

NFLX went up a bit more. I think we're at the end of its run. Or, to put my opinion to it: yes, they have more subscribers, but how do they grow their business outside of recruitment of paying viewers?

The energy stocks are still up: CHK

OAS

But the metals stocks are (very slightly) down NUGT and GDX.

Metals are just weird for me. I'm removing them from the watch-list.

I'm taking TAP.A and MOG.B off the watch-list, they aren't interesting anymore to me.

PREDICTIONS:

So if I had a gut-feel for some of the above, I should have just made those predictions and then paid the price at the time of scoring. So let's do that now.

UP: EBAY got an unnecessary hit for doing well? I think it will go up, in correction

DOWN: AXP will go down. It went up, like V, and I predict it will go down.

2016-10-20 Trading Top5s Analysis: EBAY

Market Top5s Analysis for 2016-10-20

Created snapshot of top5s graph database; shunted to google drive

scrape

2016-10-20
Mkt_Cap:AXP,WBA,PTR,TAP.A,TWX|UNP,VZ,T,EBAY,GOOGL
Price:TAP.A,HNI,MTL,AXP,EXPO|CUZ,SYNT,DST,RLI,EBAY
Volume:CHK,BAC,AMD,RAD,EBAY,MSFT,SIRI,X,FCX,KMI
Updated /Users/geophf/Documents/OneDrive/work/1HaskellADay/Seer/data/top5s.csv with 2016-10-20 data
Updating graph DaaS at http://top5ssecurities.sb02.stations.graphenedb.com:24789


bubbles


Oh, look: after inexplicably making the top5s, GOOGL heads down again.

Okay, here's something I don't understand. EBAY projects they will make 9 BILLION USD this year, and that scares investors away?

let's analyze EBAY
geophf:writing geophf$ analyze ebay
Wrote analysis files for ebay
EBAY SMA





EBAY EMA

EBAY Stochastic Oscillators

2016-10-19 Predictions and Scoring

Predictions and Scoring 2016-10-19

Scoring:

Yesterday I predicted NUGT and GDX would go down:

NUGT up 8+% NO!

GDX up 2+% NO!

On the watch-list:

CHK up 3%


CUZ, still taking a beating, down 24%!!!

OAS up another 5%

TAP.A, no change?

MOG.B still up 1+%

JNJ, that rare top5er, now down 1% (I should have called this)

NFLX up another 2.5+%, the momentum of good news (should have called this one, too)

Adding to the watch-list PG and INTC ... they were down today, why?

PREDICTIONS: none. Nothing leaps out at me, so I'm staying in a watch mode for now.

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