Friday, June 30, 2023

Top 17 FIN order books by volume, 2023-06-30

Top 17 FIN order books by volume, 2023-06-30

 


  1. KUJI/axlUSDC,$70.50K
  2. axlUSDC/USK,$50.78K
  3. KUJI/USK,$21.80K
  4. ATOM/axlUSDC,$20.92K
  5. ATOM/USK,$10.38K
  6. wETH/axlUSDC,$4.12K
  7. MNTA/KUJI,$3.98K
  8. LUNA/USK,$3.44K
  9. WINK/USK,$3.01K
  10. KUJI/ATOM,$1.83K
  11. GRAV/USK,$1.64K
  12. DOT/axlUSDC,$1.37K
  13. JUNO/axlUSDC,$1.35K
  14. WHALE/USK,$1.28K
  15. wETH/USK,$1.11K
  16. ampWHALE/WHALE,$1.04K
  17. MNTA/USK,$1.02K

Report generated by ./top_order_books

Infinite ATOM Well

How hard is it to convert $stATOM to $ATOM?

It's easy, right?

*sigh*

Removing my $stATOM sell-order from @TeamKujira FIN, ...



going for the 'plan b,' which is to sell the $stATOM to $ATOM on @Shade_Protocol.



Shade STILL has the bridging-problem: it bridges AND it throws an error.



So, here's a conundrum:

There is a LOT of $stATOM for sale on @TeamKujira FIN stATOM/ATOM order book BELOW the exchange rate advertized on @stride_zone.

 



What ROI and what APR would you get for burning $stATOM bought on FIN?

Show returns for different amounts.

adsf

Thursday, June 29, 2023

2023-06-29 ETHBTC-THANG! Day 32

Let's do the ETHBTC-THANG!

2023-06-29 ETHBTC-THANG! Day 32




  • swap 0.0127 $BTC

ETH: 3.48411
BTC: 0.03923

Total: $7,605.85

The thing is, I don't have 0.0127 $BTC available on @TeamKujira Ghost, but I do have that available on BLUE, minting $USK.

WAT DO?

I 'unlend' 96 $USK from Ghost and burn that amount on BLUE, withdrawing the necessary $wBTC from the collateral. 



I note this on my 無 $BTC arb.



I bridge the $BTC from @TeamKujira to @osmosiszone via Satellite, swap to $ETH on @osmosiszone, then bridge back to @TeamKujira via IBC.




  • 0.0127 $BTC -> 0.2084 $ETH


I wonder if there's a more favorable (as well as viable) BTC <-> SWAP on @cosmos. 🤔

So now I have $ETH back on @TeamKujira and I also have the $ETH recovered from the last 無 $ETH arb.

WAT DO?

Let's set up another 無 $ETH arb, shall we? 

I mint 200 $USK from the 0.4253 $ETH combined. With that $USK I place a buy-order on axlUSDC/USK FIN.




THAT DO!

Top 11 FIN order books by volume, 2023-06-29

Top 11 FIN order books by volume, 2023-06-29

 


  1. KUJI/axlUSDC,$54.92K
  2. axlUSDC/USK,$38.11K
  3. KUJI/USK,$22.00K
  4. ATOM/axlUSDC,$15.67K
  5. ATOM/USK,$6.99K
  6. LUNA/USK,$6.02K
  7. KUJI/ATOM,$2.37K
  8. LUNA/axlUSDC,$2.14K
  9. JUNO/axlUSDC,$1.76K
  10. MNTA/KUJI,$1.43K
  11. wETH/axlUSDC,$1.23K

Report generated by ./top_order_books

Wednesday, June 28, 2023

HOWTO arb ATOM with borrowed stATOM

HOWTO arb $ATOM with borrowed $stATOM.

So, you want to grow your $ATOM-bag, d'ye? There's a conundrum here, though: so does everybody else.

That means the $ATOM price reflects its demand, and so do the borrow rates, being, in my view, insanely high at 7% on @TeamKujira Ghost, 



...and that's the lowest borrow rate I see around the Blockaverse, at that, as both @demexchange and @Umee_CrossChain's rates are ~16%.




So, immediately, two borrow strategies present themselves neatly for your consideration.

One strategy is to borrow $ATOM at 7% on @TeamKujira Ghost, then to supply those $ATOM either to @Umee_CrossChain or to @demexchange at ~10%, netting you a 3% APR.




The other strategy that comes to my mind is to borrow $ATOM from @TeamKujira Ghost at 7%, liquid stake it as $stATOM at ~20% via @stride_zone, then HODL on for Dear Life (I can say this unironically. That's a rule.) 😎



This nets you a 13% APR, which is nothing to scoff at.

... and, if either of the above to borrow strategies appeal to you, then: knock yourself out and you're welcome.

But I see a much more profitable approach to growing your $ATOM bag using borrowed $stATOM via arbitrage, and that's what I'll be talking about here.

Okay, so, to arb $ATOM, with borrowed $stATOM, let's ... BORROW $stATOM! (obvie). I 'unlend' 500 $USK from @TeamKujira Ghost then borrow 13 $stATOM from Ghost with that $USK collateral, at 2.8% borrow rate.




Now that I have the borrowed $stATOM, I need convert it to $ATOM to arb it (not necessarily true, but go with me on this for now).

There're 4 ways to do this:

1. Burn $stATOM to $ATOM over 22 days on @stride_zone
 


You get the most $ATOM this way, but 22 days? If you can wait..

Alternatively, you could swap the $stATOM for $ATOM. @osmosiszone is the DEX for @cosmos, right?



Here's a ... *ahem* [dare I say?] ... 'Secret':



@Shade_Protocol has a better swap on the pairs that it has. If you look at the Osmosis swaps, they keep a bit more for themselves.

Those swaps get you 15.8 or 15.9 $ATOM for 14 $stATOM, no where near the 16.7 of burning on @stride_zone, but they're also immediate trades.

Can we do better?

Hello, @TeamKujira FIN.



A reasonable stATOM/ATOM sell limit order gets you 16.2 $ATOM. How long, though?

Hm.

A very serious problem with stATOM/ATOM order book, and most the other order books on @TeamKujira FIN, is their appalling lack of liquidity.

A trade that takes no time on @osmosiszone and @Shade_Protocol, takes days, weeks, even, as a limit order, or gives you a bad insta-swap.

A swap on an order book with low liquidity can result in a trade settled at a price very different from what was estimated. For example, the market price of stATOM/ATOM is 1.1447 – no where NEAR the @stride_zone ratio of 1.171 – but a market swap results in a price of 1.1388?! 😤




I say all this to say this: ...

[Tautological, I know, but there it is.]

When you trade on a DEX (or CEX, for that matter), know what that trade is, intrinsically, then: know that it's the best trade you can find OR it's a trade you're happy with OR both.

But KNOW your trades.

So, I know this about my trade.

I'm going to let my sell limit order sit on the @TeamKujira FIN stATOM/ATOM order book for one day. If it hits, I win with the best trade of the three. If it doesn't, then: eh, I lose a day and will punt to the next best trade on @Shade_Protocol. 

I also know this.

I know the 24-hour volumes of every order book on @TeamKujira FIN, and I re-evalute every morning at 0800 ET.

I go into an order book with my eyes wide open as it its ability to fulfill my order expediously (or, in most cases: not).

You can know this, too.

"How?" you ask, ... in askance.

Easy. I publish and archive this report on my blog. For you. To use. Just like I do. Er'ry. Day.

And, yes, FO' FREE!

"Why?" you ask, ... whyingly. 🙄

Because I love you.
M.O.U.S.E.

Top 19 FIN order books by volume, 2023-06-28

Top 19 FIN order books by volume, 2023-06-28

 


  1. axlUSDC/USK,$53.76K
  2. KUJI/axlUSDC,$46.10K
  3. KUJI/USK,$42.31K
  4. ATOM/axlUSDC,$13.46K
  5. ATOM/USK,$6.16K
  6. MNTA/KUJI,$6.01K
  7. wETH/USK,$3.67K
  8. OSMO/axlUSDC,$2.71K
  9. LUNA/axlUSDC,$2.52K
  10. MNTA/USK,$2.45K
  11. LUNA/USK,$2.39K
  12. MNTA/axlUSDC,$2.21K
  13. KUJI/LUNA,$1.82K
  14. GRAV/USK,$1.61K
  15. ROAR/USK,$1.52K
  16. JUNO/axlUSDC,$1.40K
  17. KUJI/ATOM,$1.31K
  18. JUNO/USK,$1.30K
  19. KUJI/LOCAL,$1.26K

Report generated by ./top_order_books

Arb'n KUJI, ... with borrowed KUJI

KUJIRATORIANS! How would you like to materialize $KUJI, out of thin air?

Why do I say this? Look at the rate for borrowing $KUJI right now: 



2% APR.

Can I get a better return from the borrowed $KUJI?

Yes, I can, ... in my sleep.

LITERALLY! 😤😴

How?

Let's explore how. 

First of all, to arb $KUJI, we should have $KUJI.

Chicken and egg problem? Not at all.

How I get $KUJI is I 'unlend' 500 $USK from Ghost, then, on Ghost, borrow 200 $KUJI using that 500 $USK as collateral.

Borrow vs. Buy


I can also buy the $KUJI outright, but then I lose some $USK. I choose to borrow for two reasons:

  1. I want to keep ALLES my $USK after this arb completes.
  2. The borrow rate, at 2% APR, is so frikk'n low, that I think I can arb more $KUJI than payback in borrow.

Okay, so! Now we have 200 $KUJI, where should I arb it?

My experience is that KUJI/ATOM and KUJI/LUNA are best.

Why? Because: http://logicalgraphs.blogspot.com/2023/05/kujira-fin-barometers.html

So, I have two (wonderful) options, which one do I choose?

If you know me, you know my answer: both. 




I arb 100 $KUJI in each.

And, BOOM! 💥 EVEN AS I WAS WRITING THIS!




The sell-order hit on KUJI/ATOM. I claim the $ATOM and put a buy-order in, eyeing the completion of this arb.



I track my trades on my blog here.

Tuesday, June 27, 2023

Using KUJI yields to arb KUJI

Hm. It seems I have some $KUJI to collect from my $STARS (200 $KUJI) and $ROAR (10 $KUJI) LPs on @TeamKujira BOW.



I think I shall go do that now. 😅

With the $ROAR-yields, I put half the $ROAR on sale on the ROAR/USK @TeamKujira FIN board, with an eye toward taking the claimed $USK and the remaining $ROAR and providing those as liquidity to the ROAR-USK LP back on BOW.


So the yields, reinvested, create more yields. 🤓

I do the same thing with the $STARS yields, but, in the case of $STARS, quoted at $0.013, the yields are worth an order of magnitude more than the $ROAR yields.

HMM! Wouldn't it be INTERESTING when 

  • 1 $ROAR = 1 $STARS

Yes. Wouldn't it, @TheLionDAO?

You heard it here first. 😎

But now I have a different problem: I now have 200 $KUJI-yields.

WHAT AM I GOING TO DO WITH ALL THIS $KUJI!? 😤

Welp: I could arb the $KUJI, and where are the best places to arb $KUJI IN THE WORLD?


Let me introduce you to the @TeamKujira FIN barometers.


2023-06-27 ETHBTC-THANG!, Day 30

Now that I've completed the ETHBTC-THANG! for yesterday, ...

Let's do the ETHBTC-THANG! for TODAY! 😅

2023-06-27 ETHBTC-THANG!, Day 30






  • swap 0.0128 $BTC

ETH: 3.48372
BTC: 0.03913
Total: $7,677.71