Cryptocurrency pop-answer: ETHBTC

The answer to the ETHBTC cryptocurrency pop-quiz is ... simple.

you: "Why does geophf always say that?" 🙄
me: "Cuz it tru?" 🤔

1. download the chart-data to spreadsheetszorxen:

You see I've added 4 fields of meta-data:

• inverted close,
• average,
• 1 stddev +,
• 1 stddev -

to test strategies.

2. come up with strategies to back-test against the data. I came up with three:

1. HODL: do nothing
2. AVG: buy/sell when ratio above/below 1-year average
3. STDDEV: buy/sell when ratio above 1 σ+ or below 1 σ- based on 1-year's worth of data

I provide 1 $BTC and 12 $ETH seed.

This is what MY BTC/ETH chart looks like with AVG and +1 / -1 STDDEV lines. 

I say MY because I plotted this chart based upon what interests ME. You: DYOR. 😤

3. Now I run the strategies and plot the dollar value (caveat: based on TODAY's $BTC and $ETH prices) of the strategies to see how they compare to each other.

summary:

• HODL: baseline
• AVG: changes daily, best result
• STDDEV: invests rarely, better than HODL result.

AVG wins.

CAVEATS

1. This is a model, it DOES NOT reflect dynamic real-world markets, specifically, frozen $BTC and $ETH prices are unrealistic.
2. This is a BACK-TESTED model, it IN NO WAY predicts future prices, profits, or losses.
3. This is LAST YEAR. YOU have to update for THIS YEAR